Breeders’ Cup Race Profile: Juvenile Fillies Turf

Friday, Nov. 2, 2018

Purse: $1,000,000
Distance (surface): 1 mile (turf)
Race ESR: -1 (moderate/soft)
Race LSR: +2 (excellent)

Winner’s Profile

Days Since Last Race: 34.3
Last-Race Odds: 10.4-1
Median BSF: 91.6
Median ESR: +2 (soft)
Median LSR: +1 (excellent)
Running Style: M/R

  • Only two of 57 fillies with a Brisnet Turf Pedigree rating of less than 110 has won the Juvenile Fillies Turf — Maram (2008) and Rushing Fall (last year).

2018 Qualifiers (as of Oct. 28): Belle Laura, Pakhet, Lily’s Candle and Winning Envelope.

  • Of the 27 horses possessing a median late speed ration (LSR) ranked among the top three coming into the BC Juvenile Fillies Turf, half a dozen won, returning $4.11 for every $2 bet.

2018 Qualifiers (as of Oct. 28): Lady Prancealot (1), Newspaperofrecord (2) and Winning Envelope (3).

  • Entrants with a last-race Form Rating of less than 75 percent are zero-for-35 in the Juvenile Turf Fillies and have hit the board (finished third or better) just four times.

2018 Qualifiers (as of Oct. 28): Belle Laura, Varenka, Stellar Agent, Pivottina and Princess Carolina.

STARTLING STAT: Of the 28 fillies with a median speed rating ranked among the top three in the field, five won, returning profits to win, place and show.

2018 Qualifiers (as of Oct. 28): Newspaperofrecord (1+), Concrete Rose (2) and LaPelosa (3).

Derek Simon
Derek Simon is the Senior Editor and Handicapper at US Racing.