Favorite Looks Vulnerable in UAE Derby

Since its inception in 2000, the UAE Derby (G2), which offers 170 Road to the Kentucky Derby points to the top four finishers on a 100-40-20-10 scale, has produced exactly 14 Kentucky Derby starters — and not one has hit the board.

UAE DERBY (G2). Purse $2,500,000. 1,900 meters.

# Name (morning line odds) Fair 
Odds
1 Walking Thunder (5/1) 10-1
2 Jahbath (6/1) 8-1
3 Golden Jaguar (15/1) 15-1
4 Plus Que Parfait (15/1) 20-1
5 Derma Louvre (12/1) 8-1
6 Divine Image (2/1) 5-2
7 Superior (12/1) 12-1
8 Gray Magician (15/1) 20-1
9 Razeena (50/1) 40-1
10 Al Hayette (50/1) 50-1
11 Van Beethoven (10/1) 15-1
12 Stubbins (10/1) 12-1
13 Swift Rose (30/1) 25-1
14 Manguzi (15/1) 15-1

Master of Hounds, who was nipped at the wire by Khawlah in the 2011 UAE Derby, finished fifth in Louisville on the first Saturday in May, which was — and still is — the best finish by a Dubai shipper in the Run for the Roses.

This year, the odds of the UAE Derby champ visiting the Kentucky Derby winner’s circle may be even greater, as the 2-1 morning line favorite in Meydan’s fifth race on Saturday is…

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Derek Simon
Derek Simon is the Senior Editor and Handicapper at US Racing.