Tag: speed handicapping

Using the techniques of pace analysis to improve your Kentucky Derby bets. One of the most frequent questions I have received from readers is how do I select a running line from each horse to …

About a year ago, I began experimenting with the concept of time decay as it relates to athletic performance. In fact, I wrote about my findings in an article entitled “A Speed Handicapping Method That …

About a year ago, I began experimenting with the concept of time as it relates to athletic performance. In fact, I wrote about my findings in an article entitled “A Speed Handicapping Method That Actually …

Twenty-seven years ago, at Gulfstream Park, handicapping author Andrew Beyer had a sad epiphany. “I felt that I was at the very top of my game as a gambler. And I still couldn’t win,” Beyer …

US Racing editor Derek Simon and Dave Schwartz of www.pacemakestherace.com discuss creative ways to use or modify speed ratings. Is using average daily variants a good idea? (Derek and Dave actually agree!) What are the most …

JUVENILE Saturday, Nov. 5, 2016 (2:43 PM PDT) Purse: $2,000,000 Distance (surface): 1-1/16 miles (dirt) *Race ESR: -10 (moderate/brisk) *Race LSR: -7 (average/good) Winner’s Profile Days Since Last Race: 28 Last-Race Odds: 8-5 Median BSF: …

TURF SPRINT Saturday, Nov. 5, 2016 (2:05 PM PDT) Purse: $1,000,000 Distance (surface): About 6 ½ furlongs (turf) Race ESR: -6 (moderate/brisk) Race LSR: -7 (fair/good) Winner’s Profile Days Since Last Race: 34.5 Last-Race Odds: …

SPRINT Saturday, Nov. 5, 2016 (1:21 PM PDT) Purse: $1,500,000 Distance (surface): 6 furlongs (dirt) *Race ESR: -11 (brisk/demanding) *Race LSR: -9 (fair/good) Winner’s Profile Days Since Last Race: 35.0 Last-Race Odds: 2-1 Median BSF: …

FILLY & MARE TURF Saturday, Nov. 5, 2013 (12:45 PM PDT) Purse: $2,000,000 Distance (surface): 1-1/4 miles (turf) Race ESR: +1 (soft) Race LSR: +3 (excellent) Winner’s Profile Days Since Last Race: 33.0 Last-Race Odds: …

JUVENILE FILLIES Saturday, Nov. 5, 2016 (12:05 PM PDT) Purse: $2,000,000 Distance (surface): 1-1/16 miles (dirt) *Race ESR: -9 (brisk/moderate *Race LSR: -8 (fair/good Winner’s Profile Days Since Last Race: 28.0 Last-Race Odds: 6-5 Median …