Despite Low Expectations, Great Expectations Upset Winner of San Antonio

Collected ran an underwhelming race as the overwhelming favorite on Tuesday (photo by Jim Safford).

Collected ran an underwhelming race as the overwhelming favorite in the San Antonio Stakes on opening day at Santa Anita Park (photo by Jim Safford).

For a race expected to answer so many questions about next month’s $16 million Pegasus World Cup (GI) and who the legit contenders from the west would be, Tuesday’s San Antonio Handicap (GII) result could not have created more confusion.

In an upset of enormous proportions, longshot Giant Expectations and jockey Gary Stevens wired the field after setting a pace that can only be described as pedestrian. The New York-bred son of Frost Giant crossed the wire 3 ¾ lengths ahead of fellow longshot Accelerate, while upsetting the heavily favored Collected, who was third, and casting serious doubt on whether or not Santa Anita will be represented at all in the world’s richest horse race at Gulfstream Park in four weeks.

After Top of the Game scratched, five remained in the 1 1/16-mile race and, as expected, Speedway Stables’ Grade 1 winner and confirmed frontrunner Collected was the heavy 2-5 favorite off a strong second to likely Horse of the Year Gun Runner in the Breeders’ Cup Classic (GI) last out. When the gates opened, however, it wasn’t Mike Smith on Collected who made the lead, but rather Gary Stevens aboard 13-1 outsider Giant Expectations. And as that pair cruised easily and unchallenged through splits of :24.69, :49.19 and 1:12.94, Collected sat in a very unfamiliar spot at the rear of the field.

As Stevens guided the Peter Eurton-trained Giant Expectations into the top of the stretch, Smith finally got busy on Collected, who was still near the back midway on the turn, and Flavien Prat was working hard on the second betting choice, Hoppertunity, who appeared to make a premature move up the backstretch, but flattened out badly and was spinning his wheels. After posting the mile in 1:36.84, Giant Expectations stopped the Teletimer in 1:43.07 over a fast main track.

“It looked like we were going to see a sub-:23 first quarter,” Stevens said, “and we covered the first quarter in :24 and change and the half at almost :50, and the race was pretty much over. He’s got a great turn of foot the last quarter-mile and it was a lot of fun.

“He’s a good colt. I don’t think people know how good his Breeders’ Cup race was (sixth in the Dirt Mile); he absolutely got left at the start and didn’t like the dirt getting kicked in his face. He was really the only horse that closed any ground at all that day. He’s come back and worked brilliant.”

Giant Expectations earned $180,000 for his latest graded stakes score, having previously won the Pat O’Brien Stakes (GII) at Del Mar this past summer, and his career line now stands at 13-4-3-1, $449,200.

Giant Expectations returned $29, $8.20 and $3.20. Accelerate paid $7 and $2.80 at odds of nearly 9-1, while Collected was good for $2.10.

As for who could make the gate for the Pegasus, it’s anyone’s guess.

“I don’t know [what race might be next],” Eurton said in regard to the San Antonio winner’s plans. “I’m just going to enjoy this. We’re not nominated to anything.”

A none-too-pleased Bob Baffert, trainer of Collected and Hoppertunity, had no comment on the Pegasus World Cup, only saying, “[Collected] should have been on the lead and the other horse [Hoppertunity] was too close.”

Smith took the blame for Collected’s odd journey.

“It was a bad ride,” Smith said. “It was my fault. I slipped leaving the gate. We should have been on the lead. Then they were going too slow and we couldn’t get there in the end.”

Margaret Ransom
California native and lifelong horsewoman Margaret Ransom is a graduate of the University of Arizona’s Race Track Industry Program. She got her start in racing working in the publicity departments at Calder Race Course and Hialeah Park, as well as in the racing office at Gulfstream Park in South Florida. She then spent six years in Lexington, KY, at where she helped create and develop the company’s popular newsletters, Handicapper’s Edge and Bloodstock Journal.

After returning to California, she served six years as the Southern California news correspondent for BloodHorse, assisted in the publicity department at Santa Anita Park and and was a contributor to many other racing publications, including HorsePlayer Magazine and Trainer Magazine. She then spent seven years at HRTV and in various roles as researcher, programming assistant, producer and social media and marketing manager. She has also walked hots and groomed runners, worked the elite sales in Kentucky for top-class consignors and volunteers for several race horse retirement organizations, including CARMA.

Margaret’s very first Breeders’ Cup was at Hollywood Park in 1984 and she has attended more than half of the Breeders’ Cups since. She counts Holy Bull as her favorite horse of all time. She lives in Pasadena with her longtime beau, Tony, three Australian Shepherds and one Golden Retriever.